Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.