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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
47.91% | 25.18% | 26.91% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50% | 50% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% | 71.98% ( -0) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.11% | 20.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.4% | 53.6% ( -0) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% ( -0) | 33.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.4% ( -0) | 69.6% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |