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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
50.16% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( 0) | 25.46% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% | 19.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% ( 0) | 50.64% ( 0) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.06) | 32.98% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.44% ( -0.06) | 69.56% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |