Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minai would win this match.