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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC
Houston
2 - 0
Austin
Bassi (71' pen.), Herrera (86')
Franco (59'), Carrasquilla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaisanen (19'), Fagundez (52'), Lundqvist (70')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 3-0 Houston
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Austin
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Austin FC

Houston have had two weeks to build some chemistry since their defeat against the Revs, but they are coming up against a team in Austin who appear to have more scoring depth than a year ago and will be in a foul mood following their CCL elimination.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
42.11% (0.128 0.13) 24.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 33.18% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.256 0.26)44.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (0.246 0.25)67.3% (-0.245 -0.25)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.169 0.17)21.39% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (0.26 0.26)54.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.082000000000008 0.08)26.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (0.109 0.11)61.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.11%
    Austin FC 33.18%
    Draw 24.71%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 33.18%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 2am
Austin
3-1
Houston
Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Lima (66')
Carrasquilla (11')
Hadebe (14'), Lundqvist (62'), Herrera (80')
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30am
Houston
3-0
Austin
Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')
Aug 5, 2021 2am
Austin
3-2
Houston
Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')
Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville147431991025
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew135352517818
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149

Real Madrid Until The End
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