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Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK at Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati
2 - 1
Houston
Santos (19'), Nwobodo (48')
Barreal (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schmitt (45+2')
Artur (10'), Schmitt (81')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo look a much-improved side under the helm of Olsen, but FC Cincinnati have home advantage, and they are undefeated in the previous two meetings between the sides. As such, we expect a narrow home victory, with the game likely to be a high-scoring affair judging by both teams' results in pre-season.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
54.23% (-0.757 -0.76) 22.06% (0.137 0.14) 23.71% (0.622 0.62)
Both teams to score 60.17% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)39.01% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)14.41% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (-0.436 -0.44)42.31% (0.439 0.44)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.545 0.55)29.7% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.656 0.66)65.76% (-0.654 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 54.23%
    Houston Dynamo 23.71%
    Draw 22.05%
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Houston

FC Cincinnati
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Cincinnati
Pasher (3')
Figueroa (48'), Valentin (70'), Garcia (81')
Barreal (5')
Kubo (55')
Jul 7, 2019 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Houston
Manneh (29'), Dally (38'), Ulloa (61')
Amaya (32')
Quioto (79' pen.), Hagglund (81' og.)
Elis (19'), Cabezas (25'), Struna (74')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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