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Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati
2 - 3
Chicago Fire
Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Hagglund (27'), Kubo (81')
Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
Pineda (68'), Czichos (90+4'), Navarro (90+9')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Chicago Fire

With two games left to play before the end of the regular season, FC Cincinnati need one win to cement their place in the playoffs. They head into the weekend in solid form on home turf and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to see off the floundering Chicago Fire side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
53.83% (0.324 0.32) 22.51% (-0.137 -0.14) 23.65% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.48% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.407 0.41)41.2% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.414 0.41)63.59% (-0.421 -0.42)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.25 0.25)15.3% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98% (0.474 0.47)44.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.059000000000012 0.06)30.95% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.07 0.07)67.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.83%
    Chicago Fire 23.65%
    Draw 22.51%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
Aug 26, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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