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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Besiktas
Fenerbahce
2 - 4
Besiktas
Valencia (41' pen.), Kahveci (90+5')
Akaydin (30'), Hakan Yandas (37'), Osayi-Samuel (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tosun (58', 62'), Redmond (75'), Aboubakar (90+1')
Welinton (28'), Aboubakar (30'), Colley (45+2'), Maxim (75'), Maxim (75+75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas

Fenerbahce are coming into this game in great form in the Super Lig, but we feel injuries to Batshuayi and Valencia will severely affect their offensive threat on Sunday. Besiktas are unbeaten on the road against Fenerbahce since 2019, and we believe Gunes's men will continue that run with a victory this time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
56.92% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 21.17% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 21.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.02% (-0.133 -0.13)36.98% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)59.16% (0.142 0.14)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)12.9% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.69% (-0.138 -0.14)39.31% (0.135 0.13)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.24% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 56.92%
    Besiktas 21.9%
    Draw 21.17%
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Besiktas

Fenerbahce
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Besiktas
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
May 8, 2022 5pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Ghezzal (31' pen.)
Souza (29'), Welinton (36'), Ghezzal (45+2'), Destanoglu (45+4'), N'Koudou (89'), Yilmaz (90+3')
Novak (6')
Kahveci (29'), Hakan Yandas (45+4'), Kadioglu (90+2')
Dec 19, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Besiktas
Ozil (14' pen.), Berisha (30')
Szalai (74'), Aziz (78')
Souza (25', 59')
Bozdogan (43'), Yilmaz (69'), Batshuayi (78'), Ozyakup (88'), Ghezzal (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 4pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Vida (48')
Larin (35'), Ghezzal (90+3')
Tufan (89')
Samatta (31'), Valencia (47'), Aziz (58'), Sosa (79'), Pelkas (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-4
Besiktas
Cisse (34'), Tufan (68', 90+6' pen.)
Tisserand (15'), Pelkas (38'), Hakan Yandas (53'), Gustavo (63'), Tufan (90'), Lemos (90+8')
Aboubakar (4', 20'), Uysal (54'), N'Sakala (88')
Larin (25'), Yalcin (45+2'), Rosier (90'), Souza (90+8')
Larin (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33254473264779
2Fenerbahce33235582394374
3BesiktasBesiktas34228470313974
4Adana Demirspor33189670412963
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul331581045341153
6KonyasporKonyaspor33121384536949
7KayserisporKayserispor33154145457-349
8TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32146125047348
9Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3211111068581044
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor34118155262-1041
11KasimpasaKasimpasa33117154052-1240
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33116164047-739
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor33108154351-838
14SivassporSivasspor34107174453-937
15Istanbulspor33105184061-2135
16Giresunspor33810153756-1934
17UmraniyesporUmraniyespor3369184459-1527
18GaziantepGaziantep3367203163-3225
19Hatayspor3365221974-5523

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