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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
60.42% ( 0.35) | 21.41% ( -0.31) | 18.17% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( 1.3) | 43.51% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( 1.27) | 65.91% ( -1.27) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( 0.54) | 13.96% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.54% ( 1.05) | 41.45% ( -1.05) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.41% ( 0.72) | 37.59% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.63% ( 0.7) | 74.37% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |