Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
We said: New York City FC 1-0 Inter Miami
If Pozuelo is unavailable, that is a massive break for the home side, as he has been instrumental to the Herons' success in possession, creating several high-quality scoring opportunities since his arrival in a mid-season trade with TFC. Whether he plays, we are still giving NYCFC the edge because they seem to have cleaned up their defensive issues, and their experience from last year's run to the MLS Cup should help them settle into this match a lot quicker than Miami. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
69.3% ( 1.01) | 18.61% ( -0.09) | 12.09% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
