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Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK at Yankee Stadium
NY City
2 - 0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
71.84%17.21%10.95%
Both teams to score 48.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93%40.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56%62.44%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16%9.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.34%32.65%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.31%45.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.52%81.47%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 71.83%
    Inter Miami 10.95%
    Draw 17.21%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 12.08%
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 5.42%
4-1 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.87%
5-0 @ 2.51%
5-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 71.83%
1-1 @ 8.17%
0-0 @ 4.5%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.21%
0-1 @ 3.52%
1-2 @ 3.2%
0-2 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.95%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Inter Miami
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
2-3
NY City
Morgan (27', 38')
Gonzalez Pirez (25'), Trapp (47'), Pellegrini (72')
Mitrita (4', 43'), Tinnerholm (35')
Ibeagha (75'), Chanot (90+1'), Mackay-Steven (90+2')
Sep 17, 2020 12am
Jul 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Miami
0-1
NY City

Agudelo (19'), Figal (41')
Agudelo (90')
Tajouri (64')
Sands (23'), Chanot (39'), Tinnerholm (45+3')
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