Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
