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Atlanta United
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Los Angeles FC
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Nashville
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St Louis City
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Vancouver Whitecaps
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK at Toyota Park
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
NY City
Herbers (75')
Pineda (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (39')
Pellegrini (44'), Jasson (58')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 NY City
Saturday, February 25 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New York City FC

With there being so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline. Nick Cushing's side should have an easier time containing the Chicago Fire attack rather than Nashville's, but New York have fired blanks in their past two matches, suggesting that they do not have the firepower to take all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
39.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)52.46% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)74.13% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.058000000000007 0.06)26.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.078000000000003 0.08)61.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.16%
    New York City FC 34.34%
    Draw 26.49%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
New York City FC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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