Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
18.41% ( -0.06) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 60.14% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.3% ( 0.03) | 65.71% ( -0.03) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.05) | 37.2% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.05) | 73.99% ( 0.05) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( 0.04) | 13.98% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |