Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
25.97% | 24.97% | 49.05% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.16% | 49.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% | 71.83% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% | 33.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% | 70.33% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% | 20.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% | 52.73% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.46% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
10 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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