Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.71% | 22.01% | 58.28% |
Both teams to score 54.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% | 43.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% | 66.24% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% | 72.91% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% | 14.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.02% | 42.98% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 5.43% 2-1 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.71% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-3 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 6.23% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.03% 0-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 78 |
2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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