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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra
Newport
2 - 2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Thomas (52')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Newport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe will be full of confidence following back-to-back wins, and we are expecting the visitors to collect another three points here. Newport's disappointing home record this season is difficult to ignore, and it could be more frustration for the majority of the fans at Rodney Parade on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.72% (-0.358 -0.36) 23.62% (0.167 0.17) 17.65% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.359 -0.36)53.39% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.304 -0.3)74.93% (0.303 0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.261 -0.26)17.93% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.45 -0.45)48.76% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 58.72%
    Crewe Alexandra 17.65%
    Draw 23.62%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Drysdale (15')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 28
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4620161066432376
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438

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