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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Harrogate Town
Newport
2 - 3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Bennett (39'), Evans (61'), Waite (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Sims (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Newport
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Harrogate Town

Harrogate need just one more point to confirm their status as a League Two side for next season, and we expect them to get it, considering Newport have nothing to play for at this point. The Exiles have looked more solid in recent weeks, but they have struggled at home for the vast majority of the season, and that record is likely to continue on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
49.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)35.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)72.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 49.77%
    Harrogate Town 24.87%
    Draw 25.35%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Newport vs Harrogate

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Harrogate Town
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Harrogate
2-1
Newport
March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Newport
2-1
Harrogate
Amond (30'), Cooper (88')
Smith (44')
Kerry (14'), Falkingham (23'), Jones (75')
Falkingham (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
2Stevenage462413961392285
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4620161066432376
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438

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