Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
