Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.