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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park
Northampton Town
Tranmere
0 - 1
Northampton

Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (5')
Hylton (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

Tranmere have been very disappointing all season, most recently drawing 1-1 away at 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon, and Dawes has not performed well in the role of interim manager. As such, we expect the visitors to get over the line and secure promotion back to the third tier with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 37.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.141 0.14)59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.107 0.11)80.15% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)32.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.052 0.05)69.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.119 0.12)30.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 34.32%
    Northampton Town 37.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Northampton

Tranmere Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Northampton
0-0
Tranmere

Briston (25')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Northampton
3-2
Tranmere
Horsfall (29', 37'), Pinnock (66')
Horsfall (72'), Lubala (90+3')
McPake (75'), Hemmings (88' pen.)
McManaman (12'), McPake (68'), O'Connor (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Tranmere
0-2
Northampton

Spearing (72')
Etete (52'), Hoskins (68' pen.)
Lewis (43'), Koiki (58'), Hoskins (86')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Tranmere
1-2
Northampton
Norwood (25')
Hoskins (2', 45')
O'Toole (67'), Pierre (83'), Facey (87')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 6
Northampton
1-1
Tranmere
Morias (61')
Norwood (51')
Banks (86'), Jennings (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle4620161066432376
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438

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