Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
