Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
61.16% ( -0.04) | 18.14% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 70.83% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.4% ( -0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.94% ( -0.11) | 43.05% ( 0.1) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.21% ( -0.03) | 7.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.34% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.07) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.04) | 23.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -0.06) | 57.07% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.69% Total : 61.16% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.14% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 20.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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