Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Wrexham win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.
