Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Eastleigh |
75.76% ( 0.02) | 15.54% ( -0) | 8.71% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.73% ( -0.04) | 39.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.4% ( -0.04) | 61.6% ( 0.04) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.29% ( -0) | 8.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.02% ( -0.01) | 29.98% ( 0.02) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.3% ( -0.06) | 49.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.55% ( -0.04) | 84.45% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.88% Total : 75.74% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3.03% 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 43 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 104 |
2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
3 | Chesterfield | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 78 |
4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
5 | Barnet | 43 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 70 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
7 | Bromley | 43 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 66 |
8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 63 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 58 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 57 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 56 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 55 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 54 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 53 |
16 | Gateshead | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 52 |
17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 52 |
18 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 48 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 46 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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