Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
69.74% ( -0.92) | 17.84% ( 0.45) | 12.42% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( -0.93) | 39.04% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.63% ( -0.98) | 61.37% ( 0.99) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.92% ( -0.47) | 10.08% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.79% ( -1.09) | 33.21% ( 1.09) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% ( 0.15) | 42.51% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( 0.13) | 78.87% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.6% Total : 69.74% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.02% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 97 | 35 | 62 | 94 |
2 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 |
3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 |
6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 |
17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 |
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