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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce logo
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
Julio (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blin (25'), Maleh (72'), Umtiti (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Lecce

Recent trends suggest there should be only one winner on Sunday, as Fiorentina are flying high and Lecce are at a low. While it may not be quite so straightforward given the Viola's European exertions, their forwards are full of confidence now - a total contrast with those of the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLecce
67.19% (0.67899999999999 0.68) 19.55% (-0.337 -0.34) 13.25% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 48.3% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (0.688 0.69)44.81% (-0.695 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.66 0.66)67.17% (-0.667 -0.67)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.396 0.4)12.38% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.828 0.83)38.24% (-0.834 -0.83)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.12% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)44.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)80.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 67.19%
    Lecce 13.25%
    Draw 19.55%
FiorentinaDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.55%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina
87.2%
Draw
10.6%
Lecce
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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