Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.