Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.