MX23RW : Friday, May 19 12:30:37| >> :60:3126:3126:
Istanbul Basaksehir
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Fiorentina logo
Istanbul
3 - 0
Fiorentina
Gurler (57', 71'), Traore (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ikone (22'), Amrabat (61')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Fiorentina

The two teams head into this encounter in contrasting form, with Istanbul Basaksehir going from strength to strength so far this season. Fiorentina will be fired up to put an end to their winless streak, but we can see the hosts coming away with a slender win in Istanbul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFiorentina
48.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 25.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.66% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)55.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)36.26% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)73.04% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.34%
    Fiorentina 25.66%
    Draw 25.99%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Fiorentina

Istanbul Basaksehir
64.8%
Draw
14.8%
Fiorentina
20.5%
88
rhs 2.0
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Tables
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2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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