Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.