As Monza score regularly - regardless of whether they are home or away - Torino will struggle to keep them at bay for 90 minutes. By contrast, the Granata are often too reliant on Antonio Sanabria to bail them out and can be frustrated in the final third, so a draw may be the best they can hope for on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.29) 
0.03) 
