Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.