Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
40.09% ( -1.14) | 25.99% ( -0.15) | 33.91% ( 1.3) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% ( 0.94) | 50.43% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( 0.83) | 72.36% ( -0.83) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( -0.17) | 24.78% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% ( -0.23) | 59.36% ( 0.24) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( 1.3) | 28.31% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( 1.61) | 64.04% ( -1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |