Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lens |
14.06% ( 0.06) | 20.7% ( 0.03) | 65.23% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% ( -0.02) | 47.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% ( -0.02) | 70.16% ( 0.02) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.38% ( 0.07) | 45.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.58% ( 0.06) | 81.42% ( -0.06) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( -0.03) | 13.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.63% ( -0.06) | 41.37% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.06% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.52% Total : 65.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |