Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
61.54% ( -0.24) | 22.43% ( 0.06) | 16.03% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% ( 0.07) | 51.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.87% ( 0.06) | 73.13% ( -0.06) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( -0.06) | 16.2% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( -0.11) | 45.69% ( 0.11) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% ( 0.29) | 44.86% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% ( 0.23) | 80.82% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.53% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |