Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
56.68% ( 5.19) | 22.77% ( -1.69) | 20.55% ( -3.49) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% ( 3.3) | 46.04% ( -3.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.66% ( 3.05) | 68.34% ( -3.05) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( 3.13) | 16.02% ( -3.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.63% ( 5.43) | 45.37% ( -5.43) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.48% ( -1.45) | 36.52% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.69% ( -1.49) | 73.31% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.74) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.93) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.57) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.65) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.29) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.31) Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.84) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -1.14) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.72) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |