Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
31.69% ( -1.29) | 27.35% ( -0.48) | 40.96% ( 1.78) |
Both teams to score 49.04% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.63% ( 1.5) | 56.37% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( 1.2) | 77.39% ( -1.2) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( -0.13) | 32.78% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( -0.14) | 69.34% ( 0.15) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 1.71) | 27.05% ( -1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% ( 2.18) | 62.41% ( -2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |