Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
63.95% ( 0.24) | 19.74% ( -0.07) | 16.31% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.82% ( -0.01) | 39.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.49% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.39% ( 0.06) | 11.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.4% ( 0.13) | 36.6% ( -0.13) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.84% ( -0.21) | 37.16% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.05% ( -0.21) | 73.94% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |