Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
46.9% ( 0.52) | 23.69% ( 0.05) | 29.41% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% ( -0.57) | 41.86% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% ( -0.58) | 64.26% ( 0.58) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.02) | 18.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.03) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.66) | 26.99% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.87) | 62.34% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |