Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
22.04% | 22.24% | 55.72% |
Both teams to score 57.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.18% | 41.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.78% | 64.22% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% | 69.25% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.11% | 14.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.76% | 43.24% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 5.79% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.04% | 1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-3 @ 5.61% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nice | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 18 |
4 | Reims | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
5 | Lille | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
7 | NantesNantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
8 | Marseille | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 11 |
11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
16 | Metz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
17 | Clermont | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
18 | Lyon | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |