Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
24.3% ( -0.14) | 21.61% ( -0.25) | 54.09% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 62.52% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.76% ( 1.04) | 36.24% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% ( 1.13) | 58.35% ( -1.13) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( 0.46) | 27.72% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( 0.59) | 63.28% ( -0.59) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% ( 0.47) | 13.5% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.46% ( 0.94) | 40.54% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 24.3% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 54.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |