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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Montpellier
Toulouse
4 - 2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Desler (15'), Sylla (43'), Spierings (60'), Genreau (73')
Desler (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
Ferri (16'), Chotard (33'), Savanier (53'), Wahi (67')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Montpellier HSC

 Montpellier games have tended to be high-scoring affairs this season, so we expect them to carry on in this vein, but Toulouse should have enough about them to get a point at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
63.61% (0.339 0.34) 20.54% (0.044 0.04) 15.84% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.91699999999999 -0.92)43.78% (0.921 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.903 -0.9)66.17% (0.907 0.91)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.182 -0.18)13.09% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-0.376 -0.38)39.71% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-1.041 -1.04)40.56% (1.046 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (-0.955 -0.96)77.16% (0.96000000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 63.6%
    Montpellier HSC 15.84%
    Draw 20.55%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 63.6%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Montpellier

Toulouse
38.9%
Draw
30.6%
Montpellier HSC
30.6%
36
Head to Head
May 23, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
0-3
Montpellier

Durmaz (22'), Jean (90')
Laborde (21'), Delort (24'), Reynet (90' og.)
Delort (1')
Jan 20, 2018 7pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Sambia (43'), Sio (90')
Lasne (54')
Imbula (30')
Jullien (17'), Sylla (45'), Delort (72'), Lafont (80')
Gradel (41')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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