Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Clermont | 4 | -3 | 6 |
10 | Toulouse | 4 | 1 | 5 |
11 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 14 | 10 |
2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
24.55% ( 0.23) | 22.73% ( 0.2) | 52.72% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( -0.68) | 41.26% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.34% ( -0.7) | 63.65% ( 0.69) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( -0.18) | 30.24% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.59% ( -0.22) | 66.41% ( 0.21) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( -0.39) | 15.7% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.23% ( -0.73) | 44.76% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.55% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |