Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
73.53% | 15.96% | 10.51% |
Both teams to score 52.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.71% | 57.29% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.76% | 8.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.18% | 28.82% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.5% | 79.5% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.25% 5-0 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 3.9% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.96% | 1-2 @ 3.13% 0-1 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 78 |
2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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