Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
76.19% | 14.63% | 9.17% |
Both teams to score 51.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.07% | 32.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.35% | 54.65% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.85% | 7.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74% | 26% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% | 80.29% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.9% 4-0 @ 6.39% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.13% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.19% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 3.16% Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.63% | 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-1 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 78 |
2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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