The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Metz
With both sides lacking in confidence following awful runs of form, it is unlikely to be a spectacle full of goals on Sunday. Although the hosts look far from their usual best, they should possess enough to see off a poor visiting Metz side that continue to lack any character and fight as they slide towards an inevitable relegation. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Metz |
| 59.78% | 22.16% | 18.05% |
| Both teams to score 51.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
