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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium
Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu
Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seok-Ho (32'), Naganuma (79')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.
More game data and we say below the videos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
62.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.029 0.03)77.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%
    Sagan Tosu 16.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.06%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
Feb 22, 2020 6am
Kawasaki
0-0
Sagan Tosu
Damiao (49')

Alves (80'), Harakawa (83')
rhs 2.0
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