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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.65% ( -0.09) | 26.26% ( -0) | 34.08% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( 0.04) | 51.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( 0.03) | 73.33% ( -0.03) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( -0.03) | 25.52% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( -0.04) | 60.37% ( 0.04) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( 0.08) | 28.75% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% ( 0.09) | 64.59% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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