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Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
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Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
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Portsmouth
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Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Connolly (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Sheehan (11'), Thomason (53'), N'Lundulu (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
25.69% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.68% (0.122 0.12) 49.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.541 -0.54)48.85% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.494 -0.49)70.95% (0.491 0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)33.39% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.349 -0.35)70.01% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)19.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.409 -0.41)51.72% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 25.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 49.61%
    Draw 24.68%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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